Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

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As of Oct 13, 7:03 AMCloses Nov 4, 4:59 AMVolume 43.7K

Outcomes

OutcomeChanceBuy
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate58.9%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate33.4%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate5.1%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate4.2%

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